Mortality risk prediction in elderly patients with cardiogenic shock: results from the CardShock study

Data de publicação: Data Ahead of Print:

Autores da FMUP

  • José Carlos De Magalhães Silva Cardoso

    Autor

Participantes de fora da FMUP

  • Hongisto, M
  • Lassus, J
  • Tarvasmäki, T
  • Sionis, A
  • San Roselló, J
  • Tolppanen, H
  • Kataja, A
  • Jäntti, T
  • Sabell, T
  • Lindholm, MG
  • Banaszewski, M
  • Parissis, J
  • Di Somma, S
  • Carubelli, V
  • Jurkko, R
  • Masip, J
  • Harjola, VP
  • CardShock Study In

Unidades de investigação

Abstract

Aims This study aimed to assess the utility of contemporary clinical risk scores and explore the ability of two biomarkers [growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) and soluble ST2 (sST2)] to improve risk prediction in elderly patients with cardiogenic shock. Methods and results Patients (n = 219) from the multicentre CardShock study were grouped according to age (elderly >= 75 years and younger). Characteristics, management, and outcome between the groups were compared. The ability of the CardShock risk score and the IABP-SHOCK II score to predict in-hospital mortality and the additional value of GDF-15 and sST2 to improve risk prediction in the elderly was evaluated. The elderly constituted 26% of the patients (n = 56), with a higher proportion of women (41% vs. 21%, P < 0.05) and more co-morbidities compared with the younger. The primary aetiology of shock in the elderly was acute coronary syndrome (84%), with high rates of percutaneous coronary intervention (87%). Compared with the younger, the elderly had higher in-hospital mortality (46% vs. 33%; P = 0.08), but 1 year post-discharge survival was excellent in both age groups (90% in the elderly vs. 88% in the younger). In the elderly, the risk prediction models demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.75 for the CardShock risk score and 0.71 for the IABP-SHOCK II score. Incorporating GDF-15 and sST2 improved discrimination for both risk scores with areas under the curve ranging from 0.78 to 0.84. Conclusions Elderly patients with cardiogenic shock have higher in-hospital mortality compared with the younger, but post-discharge outcomes are similar. Contemporary risk scores proved useful for early mortality risk prediction also in the elderly, and risk stratification could be further improved with biomarkers such as GDF-15 or sST2.

Dados da publicação

ISSN/ISSNe:
2055-5822, 2055-5822

ESC heart failure  The Heart Failure Association of the European Society of Cardiology

Tipo:
Article
Páginas:
1398-1407
Link para outro recurso:
www.scopus.com

Citações Recebidas na Web of Science: 12

Citações Recebidas na Scopus: 13

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Keywords

  • Cardiogenic shock; Elderly; Risk prediction; Biomarker; GDF-15; sST2

Financiamento

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